Latest QRF Calculations
March 2, 2020
How do the 32 state tournament teams really stack up? The Nitty Gritty Report puts each class side by side: QRF and class rank, strength of schedule, head-to-head results, records against Top 10 and Top 25 teams, records against higher, similar and lower QRF opponents, set records, and every match sorted by opponent QRF.
The state tournament field is set in all seven classes. Every quarterfinal gets a full preview with the QRF Gap and favorite, previous meetings, series and state tournament history, common opponents and a side-by-side QRF Profile. Games run Thursday through Saturday, Nov. 12–14.
Closest quarterfinals by QRF (favorite):
• AAA: Annandale vs. Dilworth-Glyndon-Felton – DGF 50.6%
• A: Park Christian vs. Upsala/Swanville Area – Upsala/Swanville 52.7%
• AA: Jackson County Central vs. Waterville-Elysian-Morristown – JCC 52.7%
• AAAAAA: Centennial vs. Shakopee – Shakopee 53.9%
• AAA: Albany vs. Pierz – Albany 54.5%
• AAA: Annandale vs. Dilworth-Glyndon-Felton – DGF 50.6%
• A: Park Christian vs. Upsala/Swanville Area – Upsala/Swanville 52.7%
• AA: Jackson County Central vs. Waterville-Elysian-Morristown – JCC 52.7%
• AAAAAA: Centennial vs. Shakopee – Shakopee 53.9%
• AAA: Albany vs. Pierz – Albany 54.5%
Worth watching:
• 9-Player: Wabasso vs. Border West – the top two teams in the 9-Player QRF, both unbeaten
• A: Mayer Lutheran vs. Minneota – a rematch of the 2021 title game
• AAAAAA: Prior Lake vs. Rosemount – Rosemount won 15-14 in September
• 9-Player: Wabasso vs. Border West – the top two teams in the 9-Player QRF, both unbeaten
• A: Mayer Lutheran vs. Minneota – a rematch of the 2021 title game
• AAAAAA: Prior Lake vs. Rosemount – Rosemount won 15-14 in September
All 32 girls volleyball section champions are crowned and headed to state, and every one has a write-up updated with the new QRF. Fourteen titles were decided Saturday, including a five-set comeback by Fillmore Central in 1A and Minneota’s return to state in 3A.
Every champion card includes:
• The final result with set scores
• Playoff path, program history and how they got here
• Season at a Glance: record vs. Top 10/Top 20, Strength of Schedule, Strength of Victory, best-of-five record, set record and winning streak (plus vs. Top 40 in Class A and AA)
• The final result with set scores
• Playoff path, program history and how they got here
• Season at a Glance: record vs. Top 10/Top 20, Strength of Schedule, Strength of Victory, best-of-five record, set record and winning streak (plus vs. Top 40 in Class A and AA)
Saturday’s upsets:
• 6A: #3 Belgrade-Brooten-Elrosa swept #1 Border West
• 8AA: #3 East Grand Forks swept #1 Barnesville
• 1AAA: #2 Stewartville swept #1 Northfield
• 5AAAA: #2 Champlin Park swept #1 Maple Grove
• 6A: #3 Belgrade-Brooten-Elrosa swept #1 Border West
• 8AA: #3 East Grand Forks swept #1 Barnesville
• 1AAA: #2 Stewartville swept #1 Northfield
• 5AAAA: #2 Champlin Park swept #1 Maple Grove
Top QRF in each state field:
• Class A: Minneota (178.7)
• Class AA: New Life Academy (205.6)
• Class AAA: Benilde-St. Margaret’s (228.2)
• Class AAAA: Lakeville South (239.8)
• Class A: Minneota (178.7)
• Class AA: New Life Academy (205.6)
• Class AAA: Benilde-St. Margaret’s (228.2)
• Class AAAA: Lakeville South (239.8)
NEW FEATURE!!! QRF Gap Analytics
How to Read the QRF Gap
Favorite = the team with the higher QRF
QRF Gap = (Favorite’s QRF − Opponent’s QRF) ÷ Favorite’s QRF
Example: Favorite 141.7 vs. Opponent 126.4
141.7 − 126.4 = 15.3
15.3 ÷ 141.7 = 10.8% → use the 5–15% row
Ties count as half a win.
QRF Gap = (Favorite’s QRF − Opponent’s QRF) ÷ Favorite’s QRF
Example: Favorite 141.7 vs. Opponent 126.4
141.7 − 126.4 = 15.3
15.3 ÷ 141.7 = 10.8% → use the 5–15% row
Ties count as half a win.
Games played through 11/1/2026, including section playoffs
How Often the Favorite Wins
| QRF Gap | Football | Volleyball | Soccer |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 5% | 52% 28-26 |
51% 212-203-1 |
56% 106-78-36 |
| 5–15% | 71% 110-45 |
68% 596-283-1 |
65% 301-138-100 |
| 15–25% | 80% 155-39 |
83% 787-157-0 |
79% 405-80-75 |
| 25–35% | 89% 185-23 |
92% 815-67-0 |
87% 455-45-59 |
| 35%+ | 99% 976-8 |
98% 1,959-41-1 |
97% 1,318-14-64 |
| All Games | 91% 1,454-141 |
85% 4,369-751-3 |
84% 2,585-355-334 |
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