Latest QRF Calculations
March 2, 2020
Every section final in Class 9-Player through AAAAA, plus the Class AAAAAA Round of 16, Nov. 5–6. Each preview covers the matchup, head-to-head history back to 2002, common opponents and results against teams still playing.
Every game includes:
• QRF Gap & favorite, from our QRF Gap Analytics
• QRF Profile: record vs. Top 10/Top 20, Strength of Schedule and Strength of Victory
• QRF Gap & favorite, from our QRF Gap Analytics
• QRF Profile: record vs. Top 10/Top 20, Strength of Schedule and Strength of Victory
Closest games by QRF (favorite):
• 4AAA: Minneapolis Camden at St. Croix Lutheran – Camden 51.0%
• AAAAAA: Minnetonka at Blaine – Blaine 56.0%
• 2AAAA: Marshall at Willmar – Willmar 57.0%
• 4AAA: Minneapolis Camden at St. Croix Lutheran – Camden 51.0%
• AAAAAA: Minnetonka at Blaine – Blaine 56.0%
• 2AAAA: Marshall at Willmar – Willmar 57.0%
Soccer State Tournament Previews: Boys & Girls
The boys state championships are set for Saturday, Nov. 7 at U.S. Bank Stadium in Class A, AA and AAA. The girls play their state semifinals today, Thursday, Nov. 5. Each preview covers the matchup, head-to-head history and how both teams got here.
Boys championships (QRF favorite):
• AAA, 10:15 AM: Edina vs. Wayzata – Wayzata 51.2%
• AA, 2:45 PM: Winona vs. Cretin-Derham Hall – Winona 57.3%
• A, 7:15 PM: St. Croix Prep vs. Holy Angels – Holy Angels 77.4%
• AAA, 10:15 AM: Edina vs. Wayzata – Wayzata 51.2%
• AA, 2:45 PM: Winona vs. Cretin-Derham Hall – Winona 57.3%
• A, 7:15 PM: St. Croix Prep vs. Holy Angels – Holy Angels 77.4%
Every game includes:
• QRF Gap & favorite, from our QRF Gap Analytics
• QRF Profile: record vs. Top 10/Top 20, Strength of Schedule, Strength of Victory and one-goal games
• QRF Gap & favorite, from our QRF Gap Analytics
• QRF Profile: record vs. Top 10/Top 20, Strength of Schedule, Strength of Victory and one-goal games
All 32 girls volleyball sections, updated after Wednesday’s games. Eleven section champions are crowned and headed to state, each with a write-up. The 14 section finals still to play get full previews, with head-to-head history back to 2002, and the other seven sections get a status report.
Every section final includes:
• QRF Gap & favorite, from our QRF Gap Analytics
• Previous meetings this season, with set scores
• QRF Profile: record vs. Top 10/Top 20, Strength of Schedule, Strength of Victory, best-of-five record, set record and sweeps (plus vs. Top 40 in Class A and AA)
• QRF Gap & favorite, from our QRF Gap Analytics
• Previous meetings this season, with set scores
• QRF Profile: record vs. Top 10/Top 20, Strength of Schedule, Strength of Victory, best-of-five record, set record and sweeps (plus vs. Top 40 in Class A and AA)
Closest remaining finals by QRF (favorite):
• 6A: Belgrade-Brooten-Elrosa vs. Border West – Belgrade-Brooten-Elrosa 60.0%
• 8AA: East Grand Forks vs. Barnesville – Barnesville 60.8%
• 2AA: Belle Plaine vs. Southwest Christian – Southwest Christian 61.0%
• 6A: Belgrade-Brooten-Elrosa vs. Border West – Belgrade-Brooten-Elrosa 60.0%
• 8AA: East Grand Forks vs. Barnesville – Barnesville 60.8%
• 2AA: Belle Plaine vs. Southwest Christian – Southwest Christian 61.0%
NEW FEATURE!!! QRF Gap Analytics
How to Read the QRF Gap
Favorite = the team with the higher QRF
QRF Gap = (Favorite’s QRF − Opponent’s QRF) ÷ Favorite’s QRF
Example: Favorite 141.7 vs. Opponent 126.4
141.7 − 126.4 = 15.3
15.3 ÷ 141.7 = 10.8% → use the 5–15% row
Ties count as half a win.
QRF Gap = (Favorite’s QRF − Opponent’s QRF) ÷ Favorite’s QRF
Example: Favorite 141.7 vs. Opponent 126.4
141.7 − 126.4 = 15.3
15.3 ÷ 141.7 = 10.8% → use the 5–15% row
Ties count as half a win.
Games played through 11/1/2026, including section playoffs
How Often the Favorite Wins
| QRF Gap | Football | Volleyball | Soccer |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 5% | 52% 28-26 |
51% 212-203-1 |
56% 106-78-36 |
| 5–15% | 71% 110-45 |
68% 596-283-1 |
65% 301-138-100 |
| 15–25% | 80% 155-39 |
83% 787-157-0 |
79% 405-80-75 |
| 25–35% | 89% 185-23 |
92% 815-67-0 |
87% 455-45-59 |
| 35%+ | 99% 976-8 |
98% 1,959-41-1 |
97% 1,318-14-64 |
| All Games | 91% 1,454-141 |
85% 4,369-751-3 |
84% 2,585-355-334 |
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